The Chinese Yuan: The Revaluation Dilemma

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Case Details:

Case Code : ECOA132
Case Length : 16 Pages
Period : -
Organization : -
Pub Date : 2005
Teaching Note :Not Available
Countries : China
Industry : -

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This case study was compiled from published sources, and is intended to be used as a basis for class discussion. It is not intended to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a management situation. Nor is it a primary information source.

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Introduction

With China coming to occupy a central place in the global economy, the country's economic policies were attracting significant international attention. In early 2005, the Chinese government indicated that it intended to liberalize capital controls. Having already eased some controls on capital outflows, in the past one year, Chinese officials mentioned that they would open up the capital account further during 2005.

Meanwhile, the Yuan had been pegged to the dollar for a decade. There was a widespread belief that the Yuan was unfairly cheap. The increase in China's official reserves seemed to be clear evidence in this regard.

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But senior Chinese politicians believed that China could not let its exchange rate move more freely before it had fixed its weak banking system. Otherwise, there would be a large outflow of capital...

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